Metaculus

Full-Stack Engineer – Forecast Coherence, World Models

Metaculus

full-time

Posted on:

Location Type: Remote

Location: United States

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Tech Stack

DjangoJavaScriptNext.jsPythonTypeScript

About the role

  • Design and implement features for eliciting, aggregating and visualising coherence rules across forecasts, including causal/correlational relationships, martingale processes, necessary/sufficient conditions, etc.
  • Develop intuitive interfaces that make complex forecast relationships and world models accessible to non-experts
  • Build AI-powered tools for world model elicitation and legibilization, including autonomous coherence rule detection and latent variable suggestion systems
  • Integrate new capabilities into the main Metaculus platform and potentially build stand-alone tools for specialised use cases
  • Ensure high code quality, performance, and reliability across all implementations

Requirements

  • - **Full-Stack Engineering:** experience with both frontend and backend development, strong proficiency in Python and JavaScript/TypeScript
  • - **Clean Code Practices:** Commitment to writing maintainable, testable, and well-documented code
  • - **User-Centric Development:** Experience building intuitive interfaces for data visualization and interaction
  • - **Problem Solving:** Strong analytical skills with the ability to tackle ambiguous problems in novel domains
  • - **Communication:** Excellent written and verbal communication skills, essential for remote collaboration
  • - **Mission Alignment:** Genuine interest in improving humanity's ability to predict and navigate complex challenges
  • Bonus Qualifications
  • - Experience with Django and Next.js frameworks
  • - Background in statistics, probability theory, or causal inference
  • - Familiarity with directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) and graphical models
  • - Experience with forecasting platforms or prediction markets
  • - Knowledge of AI/ML integration, particularly for natural language processing and knowledge extraction
  • - Experience building data visualization tools for complex relationships
  • - Background in epistemics, decision theory, or related fields
Benefits
  • Metaculus offers competitive compensation packages and is supported by a committed coalition of funding partners.
  • In addition to the salary range listed above:
  • - We reimburse employees for health insurance costs, depending on country. In the US, we reimburse up to the legal maximum under a QSEHRA plan
  • - In the US, we offer a 401k plan for employees
  • - We provide generous parental leave
  • - As applicable, we provide relocation support and compensation adjustments when employees move to higher cost-of-living areas
  • - We offer travel opportunities for regular in-person working sessions and team retreats in the US and Europe
  • - We encourage our employees to meaningfully engage with and attend technical conferences and community events
  • - We are an equal opportunity employer that understands and appreciates the benefits of a diverse workforce

Applicant Tracking System Keywords

Tip: use these terms in your resume and cover letter to boost ATS matches.

Hard skills
PythonJavaScriptTypeScriptDjangoNext.jsdata visualizationAI integrationnatural language processingknowledge extractionforecasting
Soft skills
problem solvingcommunicationanalytical skillsuser-centric developmentcommitment to clean code practices