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Citi

Loss Forecasting and Stress Testing Analytics – Assistant Vice President

Citi

Quantitative Analyst in Loss Forecasting and Stress Testing for a leader in financial services. Drive critical initiatives and ensure financial stability in the banking sector.

Posted 5/27/2026full-timeGurgaon • 🇮🇳 IndiaLeadWebsite

Tech Stack

Tools & technologies
PythonTableauVBA

About the role

Key responsibilities & impact
  • Lead Forecasting & Stress Testing: Drive the execution of quarterly loss/loan loss reserve forecasting and stress testing processes (e.g., CCAR, QMMF, Recovery Plan) for US mortgage and retail bank portfolios.
  • Enhance Model Validation & Integrity: Actively participate in the review and challenge of existing models and their outputs, identifying opportunities for continuous improvement in alignment with portfolio performance and evolving macro-economic trends.
  • Ensure models produce rational, logical, and accurate outcomes.
  • Strategic Policy Analytics: Conduct sophisticated risk policy analytics to quantify the impact of credit, business, and regulatory policies on loss performance, seamlessly integrating these insights into the stress testing framework.
  • Advanced Econometric Analysis: Perform in-depth econometric analysis to estimate and articulate the influence of changing macro-economic trends on key performance indicators such as portfolio losses and delinquency rates.
  • Data-Driven Insights & Automation: Understand and analyze the key drivers of losses and loan loss reserves, their relative importance, and current trends. Leverage this knowledge to generate meaningful and accurate forecasts.
  • Cross-Functional Collaboration: Partner with Risk and Finance organizations to optimize data sourcing, definition, extraction, and utilization processes, continuously improving our analytical capabilities.
  • Process Optimization & Innovation: Identify and champion opportunities for process efficiencies through automation (using Python, VBA, SAS, Tableau), simplification of underlying data, forecasting, and reporting processes, including the innovative application of Citi AI solutions.
  • Governance & Compliance Excellence: Oversee associated governance activities (Manager Control Assessment, End User Computing, Activity Risk Control Monitoring), ensuring best-in-class practices for documentation, version control, and central results summaries.
  • Stakeholder Engagement & Communication: Present complex analytical findings and strategic recommendations to managers, key stakeholders, senior management, and various review, challenge, and audit teams.
  • Ethical Risk Management: Consistently assess and mitigate risk in all business decisions, safeguarding the firm's reputation and assets by adhering to regulatory compliance, internal policies, and sound ethical judgment.

Requirements

What you’ll need
  • 7+ years of progressive experience in financial services, business analytics, or management consulting, with a strong emphasis on quantitative analysis.
  • A post-graduate degree in a quantitative discipline such as Statistics, Mathematics, Economics, Econometrics, Management, Operations Research, or Engineering.
  • Demonstrated proficiency in analytical and automation tools (e.g., Python, SAS, VBA, Tableau) and a keen interest in leveraging AI for enhanced efficiency.
  • Strong understanding of risk management principles.
  • Experience with Loss Forecasting/CECL/Stress Testing is highly preferred.
  • Knowledge of the mortgage and/or retail bank industry and associated regulatory activities is a significant advantage.
  • Exceptional quantitative aptitude, critical thinking, and problem-solving abilities, with a track record of delivering high-quality results.
  • Excellent written and verbal communication skills, with the ability to articulate complex analytical concepts to diverse audiences.
  • A strong work ethic, a collaborative spirit, and the ability to thrive in both independent and team-oriented environments.

Benefits

Comp & perks
  • Competitive salary
  • Flexible work hours
  • Professional development opportunities
  • Health insurance
  • Wellness programs

ATS Keywords

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Hard Skills & Tools
quantitative analysisloss forecastingstress testingeconometric analysisdata analysisprocess optimizationrisk managementpolicy analyticsautomation
Soft Skills
critical thinkingproblem-solvingcollaborationcommunicationstakeholder engagementethical judgmentattention to detailadaptabilityleadership