EXL

Loss Forecasting Manager

EXL

full-time

Posted on:

Location Type: Hybrid

Location: Wilmington • New York • 🇺🇸 United States

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Salary

💰 $125,000 - $145,000 per year

Job Level

Mid-LevelSenior

Tech Stack

PythonSQL

About the role

  • Manages the overall engagement with team of 4-5 members
  • Expected to be 50% individual contributor, handling coding, Excel modeling and deck preparation
  • Ability to deliver clear, structured, and concise summaries of complex situations for senior stakeholders
  • Consulting-style articulation is essential – distilling what happened, why it matters, and what actions are recommended
  • Strong emphasis on credit policy integration, ensuring recommendations align with established frameworks.
  • Skilled in synthesizing key insights into crisp narratives and executive-ready presentations
  • Translate credit policy decisions into portfolio forecasts
  • Should be conversant with maturation, impact of policy change on loss trajectory
  • Project and track actuals, explaining variances against the forecast including underlying drivers of change
  • Work with a range of models, including vintage-driven, stochastic and challenger orthogonal models

Requirements

  • Strong proficiency in vintage models, roll rate models, and stochastic time series models
  • Must work in office atleast 4 days a week – Wilmington, DE preferred, NYC alternate
  • US credit cards experience in credit risk
  • Credit cards policy experience (Acquisition credit policy preferred, ECM acceptable)
  • Hands-on coding in Python & SQL

Applicant Tracking System Keywords

Tip: use these terms in your resume and cover letter to boost ATS matches.

Hard skills
PythonSQLvintage modelsroll rate modelsstochastic time series modelsExcel modelingdeck preparationportfolio forecastingcredit policy integrationcredit risk
Soft skills
team managementclear communicationstructured thinkingconsulting-style articulationsynthesis of insightspresentation skillsanalytical thinkingstakeholder engagementproblem-solvingadaptability
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